Check historical price trends and seasonality for Hang Seng Index (^HSI).
Hang Seng Index (^HSI) average YTD return over the past 10 years is +3.05%.
Over the past 10 years, the return for the specified period (Jan 16 for 7 days) is -0.32%.
5 wins 2 losses with a win rate of 71.43%.
1) Overview:
The Hang Seng Index exhibits a strong bullish tendency from February through July. Specifically, the index shows significant upward movement starting around February 21, with an average gain of 4.3%. This bullish phase extends into the summer, peaking in July. Following this peak, the index experiences a period of consolidation and slight pullback through August before recovering slightly. The year concludes with a notable rally towards the end of December, averaging a gain of 3.0% by December 31.
2) Buy-the-dip points:
The Hang Seng Index tends to experience pullbacks that could present buying opportunities. One potential dip occurs around January 2, with an average decline of -0.7%. Another potential buying opportunity arises in August, following the strong performance earlier in the year, as the index consolidates. Finally, a smaller dip may occur in late October, before the index begins its year-end rally. These pullbacks could be attributed to profit-taking or market corrections, offering investors a chance to enter at a more favorable price before the subsequent rebounds.
3) Summary:
Seasonality suggests a strategic approach to investing in the Hang Seng Index. Consider accumulating positions during pullback periods, such as early January or August, to capitalize on the subsequent rallies. The strongest seasonal strength appears from February through July, and again in late December, making these periods potentially advantageous for holding or increasing positions. However, always consider broader market conditions and individual risk tolerance when making investment decisions.
| Year | Start Date | Start Price | End Date | End Price | Return | Rate (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2025-01-16 | 19,522.8906 | 2025-01-22 | 19,778.7695 | 255.8789 | 1.31 |
| 2024 | 2024-01-16 | 15,865.9199 | 2024-01-22 | 14,961.1797 | -904.7402 | -5.70 |
| 2023 | 2023-01-16 | 21,746.7207 | 2023-01-22 | 22,044.6504 | 297.9297 | 1.37 |
| 2020 | 2020-01-16 | 28,883.0391 | 2020-01-22 | 28,341.0391 | -542.0000 | -1.88 |
| 2019 | 2019-01-16 | 26,902.0996 | 2019-01-22 | 27,005.4492 | 103.3496 | 0.38 |
| 2018 | 2018-01-16 | 31,904.7500 | 2018-01-22 | 32,393.4102 | 488.6602 | 1.53 |
| 2017 | 2017-01-16 | 22,718.1504 | 2017-01-22 | 22,885.9102 | 167.7598 | 0.74 |
| Avg | 23,934.7958 | 23,915.7726 | -19.02 | -0.32 |
| Day \ Month | Jan Total +1.42% | Feb Total +0.43% | Mar Total -0.04% | Apr Total +1.18% | May Total -1.22% | Jun Total +1.47% | Jul Total -0.25% | Aug Total -0.47% | Sep Total -0.46% | Oct Total -2.55% | Nov Total +2.84% | Dec Total +1.60% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Avg +0.23% | 0.00% | +0.23% | +0.80% | +0.08% | 0.00% | +0.42% | 0.00% | -0.13% | +0.17% | 0.00% | +0.98% | +0.19% |
| 2 Avg +0.07% | -0.32% | -0.10% | -0.20% | +0.34% | +0.53% | +0.39% | +0.31% | -1.02% | -0.28% | +0.52% | +0.69% | 0.00% |
| 3 Avg -0.01% | +0.14% | -0.36% | +0.31% | -0.08% | -0.36% | +0.40% | +0.22% | -0.30% | -0.30% | -0.19% | +0.18% | +0.27% |
| 4 Avg +0.14% | +0.42% | +0.78% | -0.34% | -0.09% | -0.54% | +0.20% | -0.15% | +0.70% | +0.31% | -0.18% | +0.69% | -0.08% |
| 5 Avg +0.02% | +0.06% | -0.06% | -0.04% | -0.10% | -0.05% | +0.40% | -0.46% | -0.23% | -0.28% | +0.78% | +0.23% | 0.00% |
| 6 Avg +0.05% | -0.13% | +0.19% | +0.54% | +0.13% | -0.52% | +0.42% | -0.17% | -0.12% | +0.07% | +0.18% | +0.24% | -0.25% |
| 7 Avg -0.14% | -0.18% | -0.01% | -0.77% | -1.30% | -0.04% | +0.13% | -0.20% | +0.25% | -0.24% | +0.38% | +0.49% | -0.20% |
| 8 Avg -0.14% | -0.14% | -0.13% | -0.56% | +0.28% | +0.23% | +0.09% | -0.46% | -0.04% | +0.11% | -1.06% | -0.25% | +0.28% |
| 9 Avg +0.05% | +0.60% | +0.04% | -0.49% | +0.31% | -0.09% | +0.23% | +0.05% | +0.14% | +0.03% | -0.32% | -0.39% | +0.52% |
| 10 Avg +0.05% | +0.08% | +0.17% | -0.15% | +0.54% | +0.25% | +0.07% | 0.00% | -0.32% | +0.12% | -0.01% | +0.18% | -0.29% |
| 11 Avg +0.06% | +0.06% | -0.26% | +0.29% | -0.22% | +0.09% | -0.10% | +0.33% | +0.24% | +0.11% | -0.18% | +0.32% | +0.07% |
| 12 Avg +0.06% | +0.37% | +0.22% | -0.02% | -0.21% | -0.11% | -0.62% | +0.60% | +0.21% | -0.23% | +0.37% | -0.13% | +0.27% |
| 13 Avg +0.04% | +0.27% | +0.24% | +0.09% | +0.35% | -0.15% | -0.56% | +0.60% | -0.12% | +0.19% | -0.73% | +0.07% | +0.29% |
| 14 Avg -0.05% | +0.04% | +0.52% | -0.50% | +0.64% | +0.16% | -0.36% | -0.01% | -0.17% | -0.24% | +0.05% | -0.52% | -0.21% |
| 15 Avg -0.06% | +0.03% | +0.28% | -0.53% | -0.25% | +0.10% | -0.08% | -0.06% | -0.30% | +0.07% | -0.39% | +0.94% | -0.50% |
| 16 Avg +0.04% | +0.06% | +0.83% | +0.58% | -0.45% | +0.20% | -0.06% | -0.36% | -0.04% | -0.29% | +0.12% | +0.10% | -0.16% |
| 17 Avg +0.08% | -0.40% | -0.07% | +1.16% | +0.40% | +0.20% | +0.28% | -0.06% | -0.09% | +0.01% | -0.27% | -0.36% | +0.13% |
| 18 Avg +0.08% | +0.32% | +0.05% | +0.14% | -0.17% | +0.13% | +0.05% | +0.24% | -0.28% | -0.06% | +0.66% | -0.03% | -0.09% |
| 19 Avg -0.11% | +0.44% | -0.15% | -0.49% | -0.19% | -0.26% | +0.19% | -0.44% | -0.04% | +0.20% | -0.46% | +0.06% | -0.13% |
| 20 Avg +0.06% | +0.26% | +0.03% | +0.07% | -0.13% | +0.47% | +0.30% | +0.20% | -0.24% | -0.11% | +0.32% | -0.01% | -0.40% |
| 21 Avg -0.12% | -0.34% | +0.36% | -0.06% | -0.50% | -0.18% | -0.43% | +0.25% | -0.03% | -0.24% | -0.10% | -0.41% | +0.20% |
| 22 Avg -0.03% | -0.16% | -0.17% | +0.02% | +0.25% | -0.47% | -0.30% | 0.00% | +0.37% | -0.15% | +0.22% | -0.09% | +0.12% |
| 23 Avg -0.02% | +0.24% | +0.15% | -0.53% | +0.52% | -0.75% | +0.40% | +0.05% | +0.04% | -0.18% | -0.20% | -0.08% | +0.14% |
| 24 Avg -0.08% | +0.50% | -1.20% | +0.05% | +0.14% | -0.41% | +0.11% | -0.26% | +0.43% | +0.10% | -0.70% | +0.15% | +0.10% |
| 25 Avg +0.04% | +0.52% | -0.15% | -0.33% | -0.59% | +0.32% | +0.05% | +0.24% | +0.58% | -0.42% | -0.02% | +0.23% | 0.00% |
| 26 Avg 0.00% | -0.11% | +0.10% | +0.32% | +0.28% | +0.13% | -0.13% | -0.30% | -0.17% | +0.09% | -0.21% | -0.05% | 0.00% |
| 27 Avg +0.13% | -0.02% | -0.03% | -0.15% | +0.35% | +0.46% | +0.13% | -0.32% | +0.04% | +0.53% | +0.18% | +0.18% | +0.24% |
| 28 Avg -0.09% | -0.27% | -1.08% | +0.10% | +0.33% | -0.02% | +0.03% | +0.33% | -0.11% | -0.29% | -0.45% | -0.25% | +0.59% |
| 29 Avg +0.08% | -0.12% | - | +0.47% | +0.53% | -0.36% | -0.11% | +0.03% | +0.19% | +0.47% | -0.07% | -0.10% | -0.10% |
| 30 Avg -0.10% | -0.84% | - | +0.33% | -0.03% | -0.18% | -0.07% | -0.49% | +0.25% | +0.27% | -0.54% | -0.23% | +0.44% |
| 31 Avg -0.06% | +0.01% | - | -0.17% | - | 0.00% | - | +0.02% | -0.17% | - | -0.25% | - | +0.17% |
| Rank | Stock | Avg Return (%) | Wins | Losses |
|---|
