S&P/TSX Composite Index (^GSPTSE) Anomalies

Check historical price trends and seasonality for S&P/TSX Composite Index (^GSPTSE).

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S&P/TSX Composite Index (^GSPTSE) average YTD return over the past 10 years is +10.06%.

Over the past 10 years, the return for the specified period (Feb 19 for 30 days) is -5.00%.

3 wins 2 losses with a win rate of 60.00%.

AI Analysis (Past 10 Years YTD)

S&P/TSX Composite Index (^GSPTSE) Anomaly Analysis

1) Overview:

The S&P/TSX Composite Index exhibits a strong upward tendency throughout the year, with a few periods of consolidation. The index generally rises steadily from January, reaching a peak around December. Specifically, the index tends to increase significantly from November, reaching +10.4% by November 25, and remains high, ending the year at +10.0% by December 31. However, there is a notable dip around March 23, with an average decline of -0.8%.

2) Buy-the-dip points:

A potential buying opportunity arises around March 23, as the index tends to experience a pullback of -0.8% at this time. This dip could be a strategic entry point for investors looking to capitalize on the subsequent upward trend.

3) Summary:

Based on the 10-year average seasonality, a potential investment strategy for the S&P/TSX Composite Index could involve buying during the dip around March 23. The index shows a strong tendency to rise throughout the year, particularly towards the end of the year, suggesting that holding investments from late March through December could be advantageous. However, investors should always consider other market factors and conduct thorough research before making any investment decisions.

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by AI (Gemini) based on historical statistical trends. It does not guarantee future performance. Investment decisions are your own responsibility.
YearStart DateStart PriceEnd DateEnd PriceReturnRate (%)
2025 2025-02-19 25,626.1992 2025-03-20 25,060.1992 -566.0000 -2.21
2021 2021-02-19 18,384.3008 2021-03-20 18,854.0000 469.6992 2.55
2020 2020-02-19 17,925.4004 2020-03-19 12,170.5000 -5,754.9004 -32.10
2019 2019-02-19 15,937.4004 2019-03-20 16,167.5996 230.1992 1.44
2016 2016-02-19 12,813.4004 2016-03-19 13,497.0996 683.6992 5.34
Avg 18,137.3402 17,149.8797 -987.46 -5.00
365 Days (Prev Close Change) Average (Past 10 Years) [Horz=Month / Vert=Day]
Negative Zero/Flat Positive ※ Change from prev day close. Excl Feb 29.
Mode:
Day \ Month Jan Total +1.71% Feb Total -0.40% Mar Total +0.03% Apr Total +1.65% May Total +0.76% Jun Total +0.16% Jul Total +2.32% Aug Total +0.59% Sep Total -0.14% Oct Total +0.02% Nov Total +3.71% Dec Total -0.35%
1 Avg +0.08% 0.00% +0.17% +0.53% -0.10% -0.18% +0.26% 0.00% -0.32% +0.20% +0.01% +0.44% -0.03%
2 Avg +0.06% +0.13% -0.24% +0.38% +0.15% -0.08% +0.55% +0.19% -0.54% +0.24% -0.27% +0.05% +0.10%
3 Avg +0.02% +0.07% 0.00% -0.04% -0.39% +0.07% -0.02% +0.22% -0.01% -0.25% +0.30% +0.28% +0.01%
4 Avg +0.09% +0.35% +0.45% +0.05% -0.45% +0.07% +0.01% +0.27% +0.23% -0.12% +0.19% +0.01% -0.03%
5 Avg +0.12% -0.01% +0.03% +0.26% +0.13% +0.12% +0.30% -0.27% +0.41% -0.05% +0.24% +0.48% -0.12%
6 Avg +0.00% +0.04% +0.04% -0.33% +0.47% +0.17% +0.26% -0.12% +0.04% -0.33% -0.20% +0.11% -0.12%
7 Avg +0.01% -0.04% -0.06% +0.05% -0.17% +0.15% -0.07% +0.02% -0.13% -0.01% -0.10% +0.27% +0.22%
8 Avg +0.05% +0.17% -0.23% -0.10% +0.25% +0.22% +0.01% -0.08% +0.34% -0.07% +0.02% +0.07% +0.06%
9 Avg -0.04% +0.09% -0.03% -0.87% +0.73% -0.37% -0.29% +0.15% +0.04% +0.26% 0.00% +0.01% -0.15%
10 Avg +0.03% -0.05% +0.13% +0.08% -0.23% +0.03% -0.30% +0.39% +0.09% -0.12% -0.13% +0.49% -0.01%
11 Avg -0.01% +0.05% -0.14% -0.30% +0.26% -0.05% -0.36% -0.02% +0.04% +0.35% -0.17% +0.13% +0.04%
12 Avg +0.02% +0.22% +0.50% -1.09% 0.00% -0.24% +0.16% +0.21% +0.12% +0.30% 0.00% +0.10% -0.07%
13 Avg +0.03% -0.17% -0.15% +0.91% +0.04% -0.12% -0.43% +0.04% +0.12% -0.27% +0.32% -0.07% +0.16%
14 Avg +0.03% +0.26% +0.13% -0.17% +0.24% +0.27% -0.24% +0.06% -0.11% +0.26% +0.04% +0.08% -0.44%
15 Avg +0.08% 0.00% +0.42% -0.01% -0.12% +0.33% +0.16% +0.12% -0.20% +0.20% +0.16% +0.08% -0.12%
16 Avg -0.06% +0.01% +0.10% -0.71% -0.05% +0.08% -0.22% -0.02% +0.11% -0.19% +0.15% +0.15% -0.13%
17 Avg +0.12% +0.19% +0.03% +0.54% +0.56% +0.14% -0.13% +0.07% -0.04% 0.00% +0.12% +0.05% -0.12%
18 Avg -0.08% -0.21% -0.01% -0.88% +0.23% -0.22% +0.11% +0.11% -0.05% +0.01% +0.03% +0.05% -0.12%
19 Avg +0.10% +0.13% +0.06% +0.43% +0.05% +0.30% -0.08% +0.19% -0.07% +0.25% -0.04% 0.00% -0.05%
20 Avg +0.01% +0.05% 0.00% -0.14% 0.00% +0.25% +0.18% +0.12% +0.01% -0.12% +0.01% -0.14% -0.10%
21 Avg 0.00% -0.02% -0.26% +0.19% -0.49% -0.15% 0.00% +0.12% +0.07% -0.22% +0.01% +0.46% +0.26%
22 Avg +0.02% +0.21% -0.03% -0.40% +0.10% -0.10% -0.03% +0.10% +0.01% +0.20% 0.00% +0.09% +0.13%
23 Avg -0.09% +0.12% -0.09% -0.85% +0.24% -0.25% -0.02% -0.03% +0.20% -0.57% -0.12% +0.03% +0.26%
24 Avg +0.11% +0.04% -0.22% +1.32% +0.12% 0.00% +0.04% -0.12% 0.00% -0.02% -0.16% +0.34% -0.04%
25 Avg +0.02% -0.11% -0.14% +0.48% -0.22% +0.14% -0.23% 0.00% +0.05% +0.08% +0.04% +0.20% 0.00%
26 Avg +0.02% +0.15% -0.07% +0.25% -0.06% +0.37% +0.01% +0.08% +0.05% -0.21% -0.18% -0.11% 0.00%
27 Avg +0.00% -0.35% -0.32% -0.39% +0.24% +0.40% +0.02% +0.14% +0.14% -0.06% -0.14% -0.01% +0.34%
28 Avg +0.08% +0.50% -0.45% -0.06% +0.52% -0.08% +0.13% +0.10% +0.02% +0.28% -0.05% +0.11% -0.08%
29 Avg +0.08% +0.03% - +0.29% +0.16% -0.37% +0.23% +0.30% +0.34% -0.07% -0.21% +0.04% +0.13%
30 Avg -0.05% -0.12% - +0.32% -0.57% +0.04% +0.15% -0.10% -0.06% -0.10% +0.19% -0.08% -0.28%
31 Avg -0.03% -0.01% - +0.29% - -0.20% - +0.09% -0.31% - -0.04% - -0.05%

Past 10 Years 1-Month [Feb 19 - Mar 20] Return Ranking

Rank Stock Avg Return (%) Wins Losses