S&P/TSX Composite Index (^GSPTSE) Anomalies

Check historical price trends and seasonality for S&P/TSX Composite Index (^GSPTSE).

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S&P/TSX Composite Index (^GSPTSE) average YTD return over the past 10 years is +10.06%.

Over the past 10 years, the return for the specified period (Jul 21 for 60 days) is +1.56%.

5 wins 2 losses with a win rate of 71.43%.

AI Analysis (Past 10 Years YTD)

S&P/TSX Composite Index (^GSPTSE) Anomaly Analysis

1) Overview:

The S&P/TSX Composite Index exhibits a strong upward tendency throughout the year, with a few periods of consolidation. The index generally rises steadily from January, reaching a peak around December. Specifically, the index tends to increase significantly from November, reaching +10.4% by November 25, and remains high, ending the year at +10.0% by December 31. However, there is a notable dip around March 23, with an average decline of -0.8%.

2) Buy-the-dip points:

A potential buying opportunity arises around March 23, as the index tends to experience a pullback of -0.8% at this time. This dip could be a strategic entry point for investors looking to capitalize on the subsequent upward trend.

3) Summary:

Based on the 10-year average seasonality, a potential investment strategy for the S&P/TSX Composite Index could involve buying during the dip around March 23. The index shows a strong tendency to rise throughout the year, particularly towards the end of the year, suggesting that holding investments from late March through December could be advantageous. However, investors should always consider other market factors and conduct thorough research before making any investment decisions.

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by AI (Gemini) based on historical statistical trends. It does not guarantee future performance. Investment decisions are your own responsibility.
YearStart DateStart PriceEnd DateEnd PriceReturnRate (%)
2025 2025-07-21 27,317.0000 2025-09-18 29,453.5000 2,136.5000 7.82
2023 2023-07-21 20,547.5000 2023-09-18 20,492.8008 -54.6992 -0.27
2022 2022-07-21 19,062.9004 2022-09-18 19,385.9004 323.0000 1.69
2021 2021-07-21 20,110.0996 2021-09-18 20,490.4004 380.3008 1.89
2020 2020-07-21 16,163.0000 2020-09-18 16,199.0000 36.0000 0.22
2017 2017-07-21 15,183.0996 2017-09-18 15,236.7002 53.6006 0.35
2016 2016-07-21 14,565.7998 2016-09-18 14,450.7002 -115.0996 -0.79
Avg 18,992.7713 19,387.0003 394.23 1.56
365 Days (Prev Close Change) Average (Past 10 Years) [Horz=Month / Vert=Day]
Negative Zero/Flat Positive ※ Change from prev day close. Excl Feb 29.
Mode:
Day \ Month Jan Total +1.71% Feb Total -0.40% Mar Total +0.03% Apr Total +1.65% May Total +0.76% Jun Total +0.16% Jul Total +2.32% Aug Total +0.59% Sep Total -0.14% Oct Total +0.02% Nov Total +3.71% Dec Total -0.35%
1 Avg +0.08% 0.00% +0.17% +0.53% -0.10% -0.18% +0.26% 0.00% -0.32% +0.20% +0.01% +0.44% -0.03%
2 Avg +0.06% +0.13% -0.24% +0.38% +0.15% -0.08% +0.55% +0.19% -0.54% +0.24% -0.27% +0.05% +0.10%
3 Avg +0.02% +0.07% 0.00% -0.04% -0.39% +0.07% -0.02% +0.22% -0.01% -0.25% +0.30% +0.28% +0.01%
4 Avg +0.09% +0.35% +0.45% +0.05% -0.45% +0.07% +0.01% +0.27% +0.23% -0.12% +0.19% +0.01% -0.03%
5 Avg +0.12% -0.01% +0.03% +0.26% +0.13% +0.12% +0.30% -0.27% +0.41% -0.05% +0.24% +0.48% -0.12%
6 Avg +0.00% +0.04% +0.04% -0.33% +0.47% +0.17% +0.26% -0.12% +0.04% -0.33% -0.20% +0.11% -0.12%
7 Avg +0.01% -0.04% -0.06% +0.05% -0.17% +0.15% -0.07% +0.02% -0.13% -0.01% -0.10% +0.27% +0.22%
8 Avg +0.05% +0.17% -0.23% -0.10% +0.25% +0.22% +0.01% -0.08% +0.34% -0.07% +0.02% +0.07% +0.06%
9 Avg -0.04% +0.09% -0.03% -0.87% +0.73% -0.37% -0.29% +0.15% +0.04% +0.26% 0.00% +0.01% -0.15%
10 Avg +0.03% -0.05% +0.13% +0.08% -0.23% +0.03% -0.30% +0.39% +0.09% -0.12% -0.13% +0.49% -0.01%
11 Avg -0.01% +0.05% -0.14% -0.30% +0.26% -0.05% -0.36% -0.02% +0.04% +0.35% -0.17% +0.13% +0.04%
12 Avg +0.02% +0.22% +0.50% -1.09% 0.00% -0.24% +0.16% +0.21% +0.12% +0.30% 0.00% +0.10% -0.07%
13 Avg +0.03% -0.17% -0.15% +0.91% +0.04% -0.12% -0.43% +0.04% +0.12% -0.27% +0.32% -0.07% +0.16%
14 Avg +0.03% +0.26% +0.13% -0.17% +0.24% +0.27% -0.24% +0.06% -0.11% +0.26% +0.04% +0.08% -0.44%
15 Avg +0.08% 0.00% +0.42% -0.01% -0.12% +0.33% +0.16% +0.12% -0.20% +0.20% +0.16% +0.08% -0.12%
16 Avg -0.06% +0.01% +0.10% -0.71% -0.05% +0.08% -0.22% -0.02% +0.11% -0.19% +0.15% +0.15% -0.13%
17 Avg +0.12% +0.19% +0.03% +0.54% +0.56% +0.14% -0.13% +0.07% -0.04% 0.00% +0.12% +0.05% -0.12%
18 Avg -0.08% -0.21% -0.01% -0.88% +0.23% -0.22% +0.11% +0.11% -0.05% +0.01% +0.03% +0.05% -0.12%
19 Avg +0.10% +0.13% +0.06% +0.43% +0.05% +0.30% -0.08% +0.19% -0.07% +0.25% -0.04% 0.00% -0.05%
20 Avg +0.01% +0.05% 0.00% -0.14% 0.00% +0.25% +0.18% +0.12% +0.01% -0.12% +0.01% -0.14% -0.10%
21 Avg 0.00% -0.02% -0.26% +0.19% -0.49% -0.15% 0.00% +0.12% +0.07% -0.22% +0.01% +0.46% +0.26%
22 Avg +0.02% +0.21% -0.03% -0.40% +0.10% -0.10% -0.03% +0.10% +0.01% +0.20% 0.00% +0.09% +0.13%
23 Avg -0.09% +0.12% -0.09% -0.85% +0.24% -0.25% -0.02% -0.03% +0.20% -0.57% -0.12% +0.03% +0.26%
24 Avg +0.11% +0.04% -0.22% +1.32% +0.12% 0.00% +0.04% -0.12% 0.00% -0.02% -0.16% +0.34% -0.04%
25 Avg +0.02% -0.11% -0.14% +0.48% -0.22% +0.14% -0.23% 0.00% +0.05% +0.08% +0.04% +0.20% 0.00%
26 Avg +0.02% +0.15% -0.07% +0.25% -0.06% +0.37% +0.01% +0.08% +0.05% -0.21% -0.18% -0.11% 0.00%
27 Avg +0.00% -0.35% -0.32% -0.39% +0.24% +0.40% +0.02% +0.14% +0.14% -0.06% -0.14% -0.01% +0.34%
28 Avg +0.08% +0.50% -0.45% -0.06% +0.52% -0.08% +0.13% +0.10% +0.02% +0.28% -0.05% +0.11% -0.08%
29 Avg +0.08% +0.03% - +0.29% +0.16% -0.37% +0.23% +0.30% +0.34% -0.07% -0.21% +0.04% +0.13%
30 Avg -0.05% -0.12% - +0.32% -0.57% +0.04% +0.15% -0.10% -0.06% -0.10% +0.19% -0.08% -0.28%
31 Avg -0.03% -0.01% - +0.29% - -0.20% - +0.09% -0.31% - -0.04% - -0.05%

Past 10 Years 1-Month [Jul 21 - Aug 19] Return Ranking

Rank Stock Avg Return (%) Wins Losses