Check historical price trends and seasonality for FTSE 100 Index (^FTSE).
FTSE 100 Index (^FTSE) average YTD return over the past 10 years is +5.35%.
Over the past 10 years, the return for the specified period (Feb 4 for 60 days) is -3.28%.
4 wins 2 losses with a win rate of 66.67%.
1) Overview:
The FTSE 100 index exhibits a clear bullish tendency towards the end of the year, particularly in December. The index tends to rise steadily from November, reaching a peak around December 29 with an average gain of +5.6%. Before this bullish phase, the index experiences a notable bearish period in March, with a significant dip around March 15, averaging -2.2%. The index then recovers and consolidates through the spring and summer months before the year-end rally.
2) Buy-the-dip points:
A potential buying opportunity arises in March, specifically around March 15, when the index experiences a significant pullback of -2.2% on average. This dip is followed by a recovery period in April, making it an attractive entry point for investors anticipating a rebound. The negative trend bottoms out in early April, presenting another opportunity to buy before the index begins its upward trajectory towards the year-end rally.
3) Summary:
Based on the 10-year average seasonality, a strategic approach would involve considering entry points during the weakness in March, capitalizing on the dip around March 15. Investors should be aware of the historical tendency for a decline during this period and position themselves to benefit from the subsequent recovery. The strong performance in December, peaking around December 29, suggests a potential exit point for short-term gains or a hold for longer-term investors.
| Year | Start Date | Start Price | End Date | End Price | Return | Rate (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2025-02-04 | 8,570.7998 | 2025-04-04 | 8,055.0000 | -515.7998 | -6.02 |
| 2022 | 2022-02-04 | 7,516.3999 | 2022-04-04 | 7,558.8999 | 42.5000 | 0.57 |
| 2021 | 2021-02-04 | 6,503.7002 | 2021-04-04 | 6,737.2998 | 233.5996 | 3.59 |
| 2020 | 2020-02-04 | 7,439.7998 | 2020-04-03 | 5,415.5000 | -2,024.2998 | -27.21 |
| 2019 | 2019-02-04 | 7,034.1001 | 2019-04-04 | 7,401.8999 | 367.7998 | 5.23 |
| 2016 | 2016-02-04 | 5,898.7998 | 2016-04-03 | 6,146.1001 | 247.3003 | 4.19 |
| Avg | 7,160.5999 | 6,885.7833 | -274.82 | -3.28 |
| Day \ Month | Jan Total +0.47% | Feb Total -0.53% | Mar Total -0.69% | Apr Total +2.14% | May Total +0.74% | Jun Total +0.11% | Jul Total +1.61% | Aug Total -0.93% | Sep Total +0.01% | Oct Total -0.60% | Nov Total +1.49% | Dec Total +1.99% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Avg +0.04% | 0.00% | +0.15% | +0.34% | -0.25% | -0.29% | +0.19% | +0.35% | -0.33% | -0.31% | +0.01% | +0.31% | +0.33% |
| 2 Avg +0.04% | +0.13% | -0.04% | +0.17% | +0.10% | +0.10% | +0.28% | +0.03% | -0.63% | +0.56% | -0.35% | +0.16% | -0.02% |
| 3 Avg +0.06% | +0.08% | -0.11% | -0.03% | -0.27% | -0.03% | +0.27% | +0.19% | +0.45% | -0.12% | +0.17% | +0.13% | +0.02% |
| 4 Avg +0.06% | +0.46% | +0.24% | -0.27% | -0.40% | -0.30% | +0.01% | +0.02% | +0.36% | -0.14% | +0.27% | +0.38% | +0.10% |
| 5 Avg +0.01% | +0.21% | +0.07% | -0.05% | +0.22% | +0.52% | +0.15% | -0.35% | -0.26% | -0.28% | +0.03% | +0.16% | -0.25% |
| 6 Avg -0.01% | +0.23% | -0.13% | -0.40% | +0.56% | -0.08% | +0.40% | -0.13% | -0.14% | -0.18% | -0.16% | -0.12% | -0.02% |
| 7 Avg +0.08% | -0.17% | +0.06% | -0.12% | -0.15% | +0.13% | -0.01% | +0.11% | +0.24% | +0.15% | +0.26% | +0.08% | +0.37% |
| 8 Avg +0.02% | +0.01% | -0.42% | 0.00% | +0.62% | +0.03% | -0.07% | -0.09% | +0.22% | 0.00% | -0.18% | -0.05% | +0.15% |
| 9 Avg 0.00% | +0.28% | -0.04% | -0.45% | -0.07% | -0.11% | -0.45% | -0.02% | +0.04% | +0.11% | +0.10% | +0.48% | +0.07% |
| 10 Avg +0.01% | -0.11% | +0.15% | -0.54% | +0.43% | +0.23% | -0.34% | +0.31% | -0.08% | -0.06% | +0.06% | +0.17% | -0.17% |
| 11 Avg -0.01% | -0.17% | -0.08% | +0.06% | 0.00% | -0.07% | -0.31% | -0.06% | +0.07% | +0.27% | -0.18% | +0.11% | +0.19% |
| 12 Avg +0.07% | +0.29% | +0.61% | -0.88% | +0.12% | +0.08% | +0.06% | +0.43% | +0.25% | +0.18% | -0.15% | -0.25% | +0.07% |
| 13 Avg -0.01% | +0.19% | -0.06% | -0.04% | +0.20% | +0.02% | -0.35% | +0.08% | -0.06% | -0.12% | -0.14% | -0.09% | +0.20% |
| 14 Avg -0.04% | -0.13% | -0.12% | +0.31% | +0.28% | -0.07% | -0.20% | -0.22% | -0.23% | -0.08% | +0.11% | -0.02% | -0.06% |
| 15 Avg +0.01% | -0.14% | +0.78% | -0.42% | -0.20% | +0.33% | -0.05% | +0.15% | -0.29% | +0.13% | -0.17% | +0.06% | -0.05% |
| 16 Avg +0.05% | -0.04% | +0.27% | +0.09% | -0.09% | +0.28% | +0.08% | -0.13% | +0.01% | -0.26% | +0.27% | -0.07% | +0.22% |
| 17 Avg +0.07% | -0.07% | +0.24% | +0.36% | +0.37% | +0.06% | +0.01% | +0.12% | -0.10% | -0.09% | +0.03% | +0.02% | -0.10% |
| 18 Avg -0.05% | +0.07% | -0.36% | -0.25% | -0.04% | +0.24% | -0.05% | +0.23% | -0.18% | -0.15% | -0.14% | -0.06% | +0.06% |
| 19 Avg -0.01% | +0.07% | -0.08% | -0.08% | +0.01% | -0.48% | -0.01% | +0.08% | +0.09% | +0.37% | -0.14% | -0.18% | +0.17% |
| 20 Avg +0.04% | -0.31% | -0.02% | +0.15% | -0.05% | +0.55% | +0.48% | +0.16% | -0.16% | -0.12% | -0.03% | -0.13% | -0.07% |
| 21 Avg +0.01% | 0.00% | -0.28% | +0.33% | -0.28% | +0.04% | -0.06% | +0.15% | +0.08% | -0.07% | -0.21% | +0.21% | +0.22% |
| 22 Avg +0.08% | +0.05% | +0.13% | -0.21% | +0.27% | -0.06% | +0.01% | -0.02% | -0.04% | +0.28% | +0.17% | +0.34% | +0.01% |
| 23 Avg -0.02% | -0.17% | -0.15% | -0.54% | +0.34% | -0.21% | +0.03% | +0.12% | +0.08% | -0.08% | +0.05% | +0.01% | +0.28% |
| 24 Avg -0.05% | -0.36% | -0.91% | +0.64% | +0.05% | -0.04% | -0.24% | -0.16% | +0.19% | -0.20% | +0.23% | +0.19% | -0.01% |
| 25 Avg +0.03% | -0.07% | +0.45% | +0.38% | -0.33% | +0.04% | -0.23% | +0.04% | -0.09% | -0.05% | +0.03% | +0.22% | 0.00% |
| 26 Avg +0.09% | +0.44% | -0.02% | +0.35% | +0.17% | +0.29% | +0.06% | +0.23% | -0.12% | +0.04% | -0.18% | -0.23% | 0.00% |
| 27 Avg -0.03% | -0.07% | -0.31% | -0.36% | +0.26% | +0.22% | -0.08% | +0.08% | -0.04% | +0.14% | -0.13% | -0.03% | -0.05% |
| 28 Avg +0.01% | -0.24% | -0.55% | +0.21% | +0.34% | -0.02% | +0.26% | -0.12% | -0.02% | +0.16% | -0.18% | +0.02% | +0.31% |
| 29 Avg +0.15% | +0.24% | - | +0.31% | +0.26% | -0.57% | +0.41% | +0.45% | +0.12% | +0.08% | +0.05% | -0.07% | +0.36% |
| 30 Avg -0.09% | -0.01% | - | +0.43% | -0.33% | +0.10% | -0.14% | -0.37% | -0.10% | -0.17% | 0.00% | -0.26% | -0.18% |
| 31 Avg -0.17% | -0.22% | - | -0.16% | - | -0.20% | - | -0.05% | -0.27% | - | -0.08% | - | -0.18% |
| Rank | Stock | Avg Return (%) | Wins | Losses |
|---|
