Check historical price trends and seasonality for Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI).
Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI) average YTD return over the past 10 years is +11.20%.
Over the past 10 years, the return for the specified period (Feb 8 for 30 days) is +0.96%.
5 wins 3 losses with a win rate of 62.50%.
1) Overview:
The Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI) exhibits a strong upward tendency throughout the year, with a particularly bullish phase in the late fall and December. The index generally rises steadily from early January, experiencing a significant surge from November through December. This bullish trend culminates around December 13, reaching an average gain of +11.6%, and remains elevated, ending the year on December 31 with an average gain of +11.1%. However, there is a notable bearish phase in March, specifically around March 23, where the index tends to decline by -2.5%.
2) Buy-the-dip points:
The most significant pullback period for the Dow Jones Industrial Average appears to be in March. The index experiences a notable dip around March 23, declining by an average of -2.5%. This pullback could be attributed to various factors, including profit-taking after the early year gains or concerns about economic data. Following this dip, the index tends to recover gradually through April and May, presenting a potential buying opportunity for investors looking to capitalize on the seasonal weakness.
3) Summary:
Based on the 10-year average seasonality data, a strategic approach to investing in the Dow Jones Industrial Average could involve taking advantage of the weakness in March. Specifically, consider establishing or increasing positions around March 23, anticipating a subsequent recovery and upward trend throughout the remainder of the year. The data suggests a strong tendency for gains, particularly in the late fall and December, making this a potentially favorable period for holding or increasing exposure to the index.
| Year | Start Date | Start Price | End Date | End Price | Return | Rate (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 2024-02-08 | 38,726.3281 | 2024-03-08 | 38,722.6914 | -3.6367 | -0.01 |
| 2023 | 2023-02-08 | 33,949.0117 | 2023-03-09 | 32,254.8594 | -1,694.1523 | -4.99 |
| 2022 | 2022-02-08 | 35,462.7813 | 2022-03-09 | 33,286.2500 | -2,176.5313 | -6.14 |
| 2021 | 2021-02-08 | 31,385.7598 | 2021-03-09 | 31,832.7402 | 446.9804 | 1.42 |
| 2019 | 2019-02-08 | 25,106.3301 | 2019-03-09 | 25,450.2402 | 343.9101 | 1.37 |
| 2018 | 2018-02-08 | 23,860.4609 | 2018-03-09 | 25,335.7402 | 1,475.2793 | 6.18 |
| 2017 | 2017-02-08 | 20,054.3398 | 2017-03-09 | 20,858.1895 | 803.8497 | 4.01 |
| 2016 | 2016-02-08 | 16,027.0498 | 2016-03-08 | 16,964.0996 | 937.0498 | 5.85 |
| Avg | 28,071.5077 | 28,088.1013 | 16.59 | 0.96 |
| Day \ Month | Jan Total +1.04% | Feb Total -0.88% | Mar Total +0.04% | Apr Total +0.88% | May Total +0.43% | Jun Total +1.44% | Jul Total +2.92% | Aug Total +0.81% | Sep Total -0.98% | Oct Total +1.33% | Nov Total +4.41% | Dec Total +0.28% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Avg +0.04% | 0.00% | +0.30% | +0.21% | -0.23% | -0.33% | +0.20% | +0.27% | -0.36% | +0.17% | +0.07% | +0.32% | -0.12% |
| 2 Avg +0.10% | +0.14% | -0.19% | +0.69% | -0.04% | +0.11% | +0.52% | +0.16% | -0.47% | +0.07% | -0.12% | +0.16% | +0.12% |
| 3 Avg -0.01% | -0.19% | +0.06% | -0.36% | -0.31% | +0.13% | +0.10% | +0.15% | +0.36% | -0.56% | +0.22% | +0.20% | +0.09% |
| 4 Avg +0.11% | +0.24% | +0.39% | +0.07% | -0.57% | +0.29% | +0.35% | 0.00% | +0.06% | +0.12% | +0.33% | +0.15% | -0.10% |
| 5 Avg +0.01% | -0.07% | -0.32% | -0.03% | +0.16% | -0.05% | +0.32% | -0.06% | -0.22% | -0.11% | +0.29% | +0.49% | -0.21% |
| 6 Avg +0.14% | +0.21% | +0.24% | -0.24% | +0.54% | -0.06% | +0.38% | +0.04% | +0.34% | -0.13% | -0.15% | +0.33% | +0.13% |
| 7 Avg 0.00% | -0.21% | -0.15% | -0.41% | -0.17% | +0.09% | +0.22% | -0.13% | +0.08% | +0.03% | -0.09% | +0.65% | +0.07% |
| 8 Avg +0.08% | +0.16% | -0.43% | -0.06% | +0.30% | +0.28% | +0.20% | +0.03% | +0.29% | -0.16% | -0.03% | +0.23% | +0.17% |
| 9 Avg +0.03% | +0.04% | +0.18% | -0.53% | +0.94% | -0.18% | -0.30% | +0.15% | -0.17% | +0.20% | +0.21% | +0.02% | -0.18% |
| 10 Avg +0.05% | -0.12% | +0.01% | +0.30% | -0.15% | +0.22% | -0.36% | +0.44% | +0.17% | -0.29% | -0.37% | +0.69% | +0.11% |
| 11 Avg -0.08% | +0.27% | -0.30% | -0.49% | -0.04% | -0.44% | -0.72% | +0.03% | +0.09% | +0.49% | -0.13% | +0.17% | +0.18% |
| 12 Avg +0.07% | +0.19% | +0.60% | -0.97% | +0.11% | -0.15% | +0.23% | +0.37% | +0.14% | +0.25% | +0.10% | -0.31% | +0.31% |
| 13 Avg +0.04% | -0.13% | +0.14% | +0.77% | +0.04% | -0.37% | -0.47% | -0.02% | +0.28% | -0.32% | +0.36% | 0.00% | +0.18% |
| 14 Avg +0.05% | +0.09% | +0.01% | +0.13% | +0.27% | +0.39% | -0.19% | +0.35% | -0.12% | +0.15% | +0.07% | -0.12% | -0.38% |
| 15 Avg +0.14% | -0.03% | +0.57% | +0.27% | -0.23% | +0.20% | +0.20% | +0.29% | +0.11% | +0.07% | +0.08% | +0.12% | +0.09% |
| 16 Avg +0.00% | +0.07% | -0.01% | -1.00% | +0.02% | +0.18% | -0.01% | +0.11% | +0.32% | -0.12% | +0.39% | +0.25% | -0.16% |
| 17 Avg +0.03% | +0.12% | +0.05% | +0.75% | +0.36% | -0.06% | -0.18% | +0.09% | -0.31% | -0.06% | +0.24% | -0.26% | -0.41% |
| 18 Avg -0.14% | -0.19% | -0.18% | -0.55% | +0.02% | +0.01% | -0.07% | -0.11% | -0.15% | +0.03% | -0.10% | -0.20% | -0.20% |
| 19 Avg -0.04% | -0.03% | +0.05% | +0.05% | +0.08% | -0.27% | -0.11% | -0.06% | 0.00% | +0.25% | -0.14% | -0.27% | -0.04% |
| 20 Avg -0.07% | -0.01% | -0.24% | -0.25% | -0.25% | +0.14% | +0.14% | +0.23% | +0.04% | -0.23% | +0.13% | -0.30% | -0.24% |
| 21 Avg -0.01% | +0.01% | -0.49% | +0.08% | -0.60% | +0.02% | +0.26% | +0.13% | +0.17% | -0.38% | +0.19% | +0.28% | +0.25% |
| 22 Avg +0.02% | +0.07% | +0.25% | -0.63% | +0.15% | -0.16% | +0.08% | +0.13% | -0.03% | +0.15% | -0.06% | +0.32% | -0.08% |
| 23 Avg -0.02% | +0.19% | -0.04% | -0.73% | +0.31% | -0.16% | +0.25% | +0.10% | -0.12% | -0.28% | -0.19% | +0.15% | +0.22% |
| 24 Avg +0.12% | +0.01% | -0.25% | +1.40% | +0.15% | +0.16% | -0.06% | -0.19% | +0.06% | -0.11% | +0.13% | +0.24% | -0.13% |
| 25 Avg +0.09% | +0.11% | -0.05% | +0.31% | -0.05% | +0.12% | -0.11% | +0.13% | +0.08% | +0.05% | +0.17% | +0.33% | 0.00% |
| 26 Avg +0.11% | +0.31% | -0.14% | +1.08% | -0.16% | +0.47% | -0.17% | +0.24% | -0.21% | -0.26% | -0.37% | +0.01% | +0.58% |
| 27 Avg -0.01% | -0.43% | -0.63% | -0.44% | +0.35% | +0.64% | -0.12% | +0.10% | +0.21% | +0.08% | -0.14% | +0.03% | +0.20% |
| 28 Avg +0.07% | +0.35% | -0.31% | -0.03% | +0.10% | -0.25% | +0.06% | +0.03% | +0.20% | +0.30% | +0.13% | +0.27% | -0.07% |
| 29 Avg +0.08% | +0.03% | - | +0.45% | +0.10% | -0.33% | +0.45% | +0.14% | +0.30% | -0.30% | -0.08% | +0.12% | 0.00% |
| 30 Avg +0.04% | +0.02% | - | +0.39% | -0.33% | +0.03% | +0.37% | -0.18% | -0.10% | -0.06% | +0.24% | +0.31% | -0.23% |
| 31 Avg -0.11% | -0.17% | - | -0.19% | - | -0.26% | - | -0.03% | -0.24% | - | -0.04% | - | +0.12% |
| Rank | Stock | Avg Return (%) | Wins | Losses |
|---|
