Bovespa Index (^BVSP) Anomalies

Check historical price trends and seasonality for Bovespa Index (^BVSP).

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Bovespa Index (^BVSP) average YTD return over the past 10 years is +15.40%.

Over the past 10 years, the return for the specified period (Feb 4 for 30 days) is +0.95%.

2 wins 4 losses with a win rate of 33.33%.

AI Analysis (Past 10 Years YTD)

Bovespa Index (^BVSP) Anomaly Analysis

1) Overview:

The Bovespa Index exhibits a strong upward tendency throughout the year, with a particularly bullish phase from February through December. The index tends to climb steadily from February 1st (+3.1%) reaching its peak around December 30th and December 31st (+15.4%). There is a notable bearish period around March 23rd (-0.8%), representing a potential pullback within the overall uptrend.

2) Buy-the-dip points:

The most significant pullback period appears around March 23rd, showing an average dip of -0.8%. This dip could represent a potential buying opportunity, as the index generally recovers and continues its upward trajectory into the year. Investors might consider initiating or adding to positions during this period, anticipating a rebound in the following weeks.

3) Summary:

Based on the 10-year average seasonality, a strategic approach to investing in the Bovespa Index would involve capitalizing on the dip around March 23rd. Entering the market during this period could allow investors to benefit from the subsequent upward trend that typically culminates in substantial gains by the end of the year. However, it's crucial to consider broader market conditions and individual risk tolerance before making any investment decisions.

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by AI (Gemini) based on historical statistical trends. It does not guarantee future performance. Investment decisions are your own responsibility.
YearStart DateStart PriceEnd DateEnd PriceReturnRate (%)
2025 2025-02-04 125,147.0000 2025-03-05 122,799.0000 -2,348.0000 -1.88
2022 2022-02-04 112,245.0000 2022-03-05 114,474.0000 2,229.0000 1.99
2021 2021-02-04 119,261.0000 2021-03-05 115,202.0000 -4,059.0000 -3.40
2020 2020-02-04 115,557.0000 2020-03-04 107,224.0000 -8,333.0000 -7.21
2019 2019-02-04 98,589.0000 2019-03-05 94,604.0000 -3,985.0000 -4.04
2016 2016-02-04 40,822.0000 2016-03-04 49,085.0000 8,263.0000 20.24
Avg 101,936.8333 100,564.6667 -1,372.17 0.95
365 Days (Prev Close Change) Average (Past 10 Years) [Horz=Month / Vert=Day]
Negative Zero/Flat Positive ※ Change from prev day close. Excl Feb 29.
Mode:
Day \ Month Jan Total +2.79% Feb Total -1.53% Mar Total +0.19% Apr Total +1.75% May Total -0.41% Jun Total +1.46% Jul Total +3.62% Aug Total +1.29% Sep Total +0.36% Oct Total +1.98% Nov Total +2.21% Dec Total +2.15%
1 Avg +0.18% 0.00% +0.32% +0.44% -0.12% 0.00% +0.62% +0.36% -0.18% +0.79% +0.11% +0.21% -0.34%
2 Avg +0.05% +0.21% -1.02% +0.29% +0.08% -0.39% +0.85% +0.07% +0.10% -0.16% -0.21% 0.00% +0.83%
3 Avg +0.25% -0.04% +0.33% +0.75% -0.50% -0.32% +0.30% +0.71% +0.43% -0.33% +1.05% +0.27% +0.30%
4 Avg +0.11% -0.31% +0.41% +0.57% -0.38% -0.27% +0.28% +0.35% -0.04% +0.24% -0.17% +0.35% +0.23%
5 Avg +0.01% +0.28% -0.18% -0.23% -0.05% +0.08% -0.39% -0.17% -0.07% +0.38% +0.36% +0.74% -0.59%
6 Avg +0.08% +0.07% -0.07% -0.34% +0.25% -0.13% +0.30% -0.09% +0.57% +0.12% +0.02% -0.05% +0.27%
7 Avg -0.05% +0.09% -0.51% -0.31% +0.39% -0.01% -0.25% +0.22% +0.24% 0.00% -0.36% -0.02% -0.06%
8 Avg +0.15% +0.18% +0.11% -0.45% +0.73% +0.72% +0.12% +0.30% +0.17% -0.63% +0.87% -0.22% -0.10%
9 Avg -0.16% +0.06% -0.25% -0.99% -0.07% -0.11% -0.28% -0.15% +0.05% +0.17% -0.02% -0.18% -0.16%
10 Avg +0.02% -0.08% +0.13% +0.84% -0.03% +0.66% -0.66% +0.18% -0.38% -0.33% +0.08% -0.37% +0.21%
11 Avg +0.03% +0.08% +0.05% -0.60% +0.26% +0.03% +0.14% -0.07% +0.07% +0.15% -0.18% +0.20% +0.22%
12 Avg -0.05% +0.35% +0.25% -1.29% 0.00% +0.19% -0.35% +0.38% +0.28% +0.36% 0.00% -0.39% -0.34%
13 Avg +0.10% -0.18% +0.10% +1.62% +0.23% -0.40% -0.37% +0.39% +0.04% -0.37% +0.20% -0.06% -0.01%
14 Avg +0.12% +0.53% +0.26% -0.29% +0.15% +0.29% -0.15% +0.02% +0.01% +0.38% +0.09% +0.41% -0.28%
15 Avg +0.07% -0.25% +0.85% -0.32% +0.01% -0.13% -0.01% +0.14% -0.13% +0.19% +0.24% 0.00% +0.27%
16 Avg -0.09% -0.34% +0.38% -1.13% -0.28% +0.08% +0.22% -0.23% -0.16% -0.31% +0.38% +0.58% -0.24%
17 Avg +0.17% +0.72% +0.09% +1.31% +0.49% -0.45% -0.26% +0.47% -0.43% +0.20% +0.12% -0.17% -0.12%
18 Avg -0.14% -0.10% -0.26% -0.85% +0.22% -0.70% +0.17% -0.13% +0.34% -0.10% -0.04% -0.20% 0.00%
19 Avg +0.04% +0.20% +0.20% +0.30% -0.16% +0.16% +0.57% -0.11% -0.40% +0.18% -0.29% -0.17% -0.02%
20 Avg +0.09% -0.01% +0.05% -0.23% -0.08% +0.35% -0.06% +0.36% +0.19% -0.14% +0.35% +0.13% +0.16%
21 Avg +0.07% -0.20% -0.05% -0.23% 0.00% +0.14% +0.18% +0.32% -0.03% -0.04% +0.09% +0.35% +0.34%
22 Avg +0.03% -0.06% +0.12% -0.46% -0.16% -0.39% -0.28% +0.13% +0.31% +0.42% +0.30% +0.41% -0.03%
23 Avg -0.09% +0.36% -0.32% -1.19% +0.22% -0.08% +0.11% -0.37% +0.08% -0.22% -0.22% +0.01% +0.54%
24 Avg +0.07% +0.38% -0.53% +1.06% -0.45% -0.02% -0.15% +0.23% +0.34% -0.07% -0.34% +0.41% 0.00%
25 Avg +0.10% +0.33% -0.22% +0.94% -0.07% +0.33% -0.28% +0.19% -0.02% -0.12% +0.18% -0.06% 0.00%
26 Avg +0.04% +0.29% -0.27% +0.75% +0.16% +0.41% +0.14% -0.01% -0.48% -0.31% -0.14% -0.30% +0.26%
27 Avg +0.03% -0.05% -0.91% -0.79% +0.69% +0.49% -0.09% +0.16% +0.57% +0.08% +0.02% +0.17% +0.03%
28 Avg +0.16% +0.17% -0.58% +0.63% +0.83% -0.41% +0.29% +0.13% +0.46% -0.36% -0.28% +0.29% +0.72%
29 Avg +0.15% -0.07% - +0.71% -0.05% -0.05% +0.62% +0.33% +0.60% -0.04% -0.32% -0.14% +0.01%
30 Avg -0.07% +0.01% - +0.48% -0.55% -0.12% +0.11% -0.34% -0.58% +0.21% -0.04% +0.03% +0.05%
31 Avg -0.24% +0.19% - -0.83% - -0.37% - -0.18% -0.67% - +0.15% - 0.00%

Past 10 Years 1-Month [Feb 4 - Mar 5] Return Ranking

Rank Stock Avg Return (%) Wins Losses