Check historical price trends and seasonality for ICE US Dollar Index (DX-Y.NYB).
ICE US Dollar Index (DX-Y.NYB) average YTD return over the past 10 years is +0.18%.
Over the past 10 years, the return for the specified period (Mar 15 for 60 days) is +0.51%.
4 wins 4 losses with a win rate of 50.00%.
1) Overview:
The ICE US Dollar Index tends to exhibit a bearish phase from early in the year until June. The index experiences a notable dip around June 8, averaging -0.7%. Following this, a strong bullish trend emerges, starting in late September and culminating on October 31, with an average gain of +1.5%. The index then consolidates through December, showing a slight positive tendency, ending on December 31 with an average of +0.1%.
2) Buy-the-dip points:
Based on the data, a potential buying opportunity arises in early June, specifically around June 8, where the index shows an average dip of -0.7%. This pullback could be considered a strategic entry point, anticipating the subsequent bullish phase that typically begins in late September. Another smaller dip occurs in late July, which could present a secondary, albeit less pronounced, buying opportunity.
3) Summary:
An investment strategy could involve entering a long position around June 8, capitalizing on the seasonal weakness in the US Dollar Index. The goal would be to ride the bullish trend that historically materializes from late September through October, aiming to exit near October 31. Investors should be aware of the potential for consolidation in December and adjust their positions accordingly.
| Year | Start Date | Start Price | End Date | End Price | Return | Rate (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 2024-03-15 | 103.4300 | 2024-05-13 | 105.2200 | 1.7900 | 1.73 |
| 2023 | 2023-03-15 | 104.6500 | 2023-05-13 | 102.6800 | -1.9700 | -1.88 |
| 2022 | 2022-03-15 | 99.0700 | 2022-05-13 | 104.5600 | 5.4900 | 5.54 |
| 2021 | 2021-03-15 | 91.8300 | 2021-05-13 | 90.7500 | -1.0800 | -1.18 |
| 2019 | 2019-03-15 | 96.6000 | 2019-05-13 | 97.3200 | 0.7200 | 0.75 |
| 2018 | 2018-03-15 | 90.1400 | 2018-05-13 | 92.5400 | 2.4000 | 2.66 |
| 2017 | 2017-03-15 | 100.7400 | 2017-05-13 | 99.2500 | -1.4900 | -1.48 |
| 2016 | 2016-03-15 | 96.6300 | 2016-05-13 | 94.6100 | -2.0200 | -2.09 |
| Avg | 97.8863 | 98.3663 | 0.48 | 0.51 |
| Day \ Month | Jan Total -0.26% | Feb Total +0.65% | Mar Total -0.34% | Apr Total -0.21% | May Total +0.13% | Jun Total 0.00% | Jul Total -0.39% | Aug Total +0.03% | Sep Total +0.88% | Oct Total +0.99% | Nov Total -0.44% | Dec Total -0.85% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Avg -0.01% | 0.00% | -0.17% | +0.13% | +0.11% | +0.16% | -0.06% | +0.06% | -0.06% | +0.13% | -0.02% | -0.14% | -0.25% |
| 2 Avg +0.02% | +0.25% | +0.18% | -0.07% | -0.01% | -0.05% | -0.14% | -0.03% | -0.09% | +0.11% | +0.21% | -0.08% | -0.04% |
| 3 Avg -0.05% | +0.20% | -0.01% | -0.22% | -0.22% | -0.13% | -0.15% | +0.05% | +0.07% | -0.04% | +0.03% | -0.02% | -0.14% |
| 4 Avg -0.04% | -0.10% | -0.08% | +0.08% | +0.07% | +0.02% | -0.18% | 0.00% | -0.01% | -0.05% | -0.12% | -0.13% | +0.06% |
| 5 Avg +0.04% | -0.03% | +0.12% | +0.02% | +0.12% | +0.16% | +0.06% | +0.22% | -0.04% | -0.12% | +0.07% | -0.12% | -0.02% |
| 6 Avg -0.01% | -0.13% | +0.12% | -0.35% | -0.06% | -0.06% | -0.02% | -0.09% | +0.06% | -0.05% | +0.22% | +0.07% | +0.15% |
| 7 Avg +0.02% | -0.11% | +0.13% | +0.19% | +0.04% | 0.00% | -0.03% | +0.01% | +0.08% | +0.01% | +0.08% | -0.03% | -0.12% |
| 8 Avg +0.04% | +0.19% | -0.01% | +0.07% | -0.13% | +0.21% | -0.06% | -0.06% | +0.05% | +0.04% | +0.04% | +0.07% | +0.09% |
| 9 Avg -0.01% | -0.10% | -0.09% | -0.32% | -0.09% | 0.00% | +0.13% | +0.03% | -0.01% | -0.01% | +0.03% | +0.21% | +0.13% |
| 10 Avg -0.01% | +0.08% | +0.08% | -0.04% | -0.07% | -0.01% | +0.15% | -0.06% | -0.06% | +0.01% | -0.15% | -0.09% | -0.03% |
| 11 Avg 0.00% | -0.04% | +0.03% | -0.01% | -0.17% | +0.03% | +0.09% | +0.09% | +0.03% | +0.01% | +0.02% | -0.09% | 0.00% |
| 12 Avg +0.01% | -0.31% | +0.03% | +0.10% | +0.04% | +0.33% | -0.02% | -0.16% | -0.02% | -0.16% | +0.17% | +0.11% | -0.01% |
| 13 Avg -0.03% | +0.01% | 0.00% | -0.01% | -0.07% | -0.03% | +0.09% | -0.08% | -0.10% | +0.21% | -0.09% | -0.04% | -0.26% |
| 14 Avg +0.04% | -0.02% | -0.12% | +0.15% | +0.04% | -0.01% | +0.26% | -0.05% | +0.15% | -0.01% | +0.14% | -0.09% | +0.03% |
| 15 Avg +0.03% | +0.06% | -0.09% | +0.06% | +0.11% | -0.07% | -0.17% | +0.09% | +0.13% | -0.08% | -0.01% | +0.04% | +0.23% |
| 16 Avg -0.05% | +0.04% | +0.04% | -0.27% | -0.06% | -0.03% | -0.08% | +0.04% | -0.15% | +0.08% | -0.08% | +0.01% | -0.08% |
| 17 Avg -0.01% | +0.03% | +0.10% | -0.15% | -0.02% | -0.11% | +0.23% | -0.03% | -0.01% | -0.04% | -0.06% | +0.01% | 0.00% |
| 18 Avg +0.05% | +0.16% | +0.08% | +0.25% | -0.01% | +0.11% | +0.07% | -0.12% | -0.03% | +0.07% | -0.01% | -0.05% | +0.12% |
| 19 Avg +0.01% | -0.09% | -0.08% | +0.16% | -0.01% | -0.24% | +0.04% | +0.13% | +0.19% | -0.07% | -0.03% | +0.09% | +0.01% |
| 20 Avg -0.01% | -0.01% | -0.01% | -0.03% | +0.07% | -0.05% | -0.06% | -0.02% | -0.10% | +0.11% | +0.03% | +0.13% | -0.16% |
| 21 Avg -0.02% | -0.18% | +0.09% | +0.09% | -0.04% | +0.02% | -0.13% | -0.21% | -0.04% | +0.09% | +0.02% | +0.09% | 0.00% |
| 22 Avg +0.04% | +0.05% | +0.02% | -0.01% | +0.19% | +0.10% | -0.14% | -0.02% | +0.08% | +0.10% | +0.08% | +0.02% | +0.01% |
| 23 Avg -0.01% | -0.06% | +0.03% | +0.06% | +0.11% | -0.10% | -0.03% | +0.04% | -0.24% | +0.19% | -0.03% | -0.01% | -0.05% |
| 24 Avg +0.00% | -0.10% | +0.16% | +0.03% | -0.14% | -0.07% | +0.12% | +0.01% | +0.05% | +0.01% | +0.10% | -0.10% | -0.03% |
| 25 Avg -0.01% | -0.09% | -0.15% | -0.06% | +0.09% | +0.05% | +0.02% | -0.03% | -0.03% | +0.30% | 0.00% | -0.16% | 0.00% |
| 26 Avg +0.02% | +0.04% | +0.13% | -0.16% | +0.05% | -0.09% | +0.04% | 0.00% | +0.18% | +0.07% | -0.01% | -0.06% | +0.01% |
| 27 Avg -0.01% | +0.11% | +0.05% | -0.18% | +0.03% | +0.09% | +0.05% | -0.09% | -0.12% | +0.17% | +0.10% | -0.07% | -0.21% |
| 28 Avg -0.02% | -0.01% | +0.07% | +0.16% | -0.08% | 0.00% | +0.03% | -0.02% | -0.10% | -0.18% | -0.06% | -0.02% | +0.03% |
| 29 Avg -0.03% | +0.18% | - | -0.06% | -0.19% | +0.07% | -0.05% | -0.22% | +0.01% | -0.03% | +0.21% | -0.05% | -0.22% |
| 30 Avg +0.00% | -0.09% | - | +0.02% | +0.10% | -0.12% | -0.07% | +0.08% | +0.15% | +0.02% | -0.03% | +0.04% | -0.08% |
| 31 Avg +0.01% | -0.17% | - | +0.05% | - | -0.04% | - | +0.06% | +0.03% | - | +0.15% | - | -0.02% |
| Rank | Stock | Avg Return (%) | Wins | Losses |
|---|
