Check historical price trends and seasonality for BNP Paribas SA (BNP.PA).
BNP Paribas SA (BNP.PA) average YTD return over the past 10 years is +7.40%.
Over the past 10 years, the return for the specified period (Feb 8 for 60 days) is +2.68%.
5 wins 3 losses with a win rate of 62.50%.
1) Overview:
BNP Paribas SA (BNP.PA) exhibits a clear bullish trend towards the end of the year, particularly in December. The stock tends to decline around June, with a notable dip of -3.8% on June 25. However, the strongest bullish phase occurs in December, culminating in gains of +7.5% on December 23 and +7.3% on December 31, indicating a strong year-end rally.
2) Buy-the-dip points:
A potential buying opportunity arises in late June, specifically around June 25, where the stock experiences an average dip of -3.8%. Another pullback period appears in early July, which could be considered a secondary entry point. The period between late March and early April also shows a significant dip, with the largest drop of -3.7% on April 7, presenting another potential buy-the-dip opportunity before the stock recovers in late April. These pullbacks could be attributed to mid-year profit-taking or broader market corrections, setting the stage for subsequent rallies.
3) Summary:
Based on historical seasonality, an investment strategy for BNP Paribas SA (BNP.PA) could involve accumulating shares during the pullback periods in late March/early April and late June. The most opportune time to consider entry would be around June 25, capitalizing on the -3.8% dip. Investors should consider selling or reducing their positions in late December to capture the gains from the year-end rally, specifically around December 23 and December 31.
| Year | Start Date | Start Price | End Date | End Price | Return | Rate (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 2024-02-08 | 54.5400 | 2024-04-07 | 66.5500 | 12.0100 | 22.02 |
| 2023 | 2023-02-08 | 63.8500 | 2023-04-08 | 57.2300 | -6.6200 | -10.37 |
| 2022 | 2022-02-08 | 66.0000 | 2022-04-08 | 47.8450 | -18.1550 | -27.51 |
| 2021 | 2021-02-08 | 44.1200 | 2021-04-08 | 52.0000 | 7.8800 | 17.86 |
| 2019 | 2019-02-08 | 39.8500 | 2019-04-08 | 44.4500 | 4.6000 | 11.54 |
| 2018 | 2018-02-08 | 64.4200 | 2018-04-08 | 60.5700 | -3.8500 | -5.98 |
| 2017 | 2017-02-08 | 56.0600 | 2017-04-08 | 60.9000 | 4.8400 | 8.63 |
| 2016 | 2016-02-08 | 39.3000 | 2016-04-07 | 41.3500 | 2.0500 | 5.22 |
| Avg | 53.5175 | 53.8619 | 0.34 | 2.68 |
| Day \ Month | Jan Total +0.57% | Feb Total -0.03% | Mar Total -2.45% | Apr Total +3.81% | May Total -0.67% | Jun Total -3.30% | Jul Total +3.34% | Aug Total -0.33% | Sep Total +0.26% | Oct Total -0.68% | Nov Total +5.57% | Dec Total +3.35% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Avg -0.02% | 0.00% | -0.44% | -0.32% | -0.23% | 0.00% | +0.57% | +0.25% | -0.82% | +0.31% | -0.42% | +0.37% | +0.47% |
| 2 Avg -0.06% | +0.43% | -0.86% | +0.46% | 0.00% | +0.06% | +0.42% | +0.37% | -1.50% | +0.32% | -0.63% | +0.34% | -0.09% |
| 3 Avg +0.22% | +0.04% | -0.21% | +0.90% | -0.88% | +0.30% | +0.39% | +0.79% | +0.90% | -0.22% | -0.25% | +1.12% | -0.27% |
| 4 Avg +0.26% | +1.47% | +1.03% | -0.79% | -0.64% | -0.87% | -0.02% | -0.23% | +1.24% | +0.56% | +0.36% | +0.22% | +0.76% |
| 5 Avg +0.24% | +0.04% | +0.55% | -0.24% | -0.75% | +1.14% | +0.49% | -0.02% | +0.05% | -0.03% | +1.01% | +0.38% | +0.30% |
| 6 Avg +0.02% | +0.84% | -0.23% | -0.05% | +0.27% | -0.23% | +0.26% | -0.68% | +0.15% | -0.47% | +0.27% | -0.50% | +0.66% |
| 7 Avg +0.08% | +0.10% | +0.36% | -0.93% | -0.39% | +0.10% | +0.25% | +0.35% | +0.33% | +0.01% | +0.45% | +0.26% | +0.10% |
| 8 Avg +0.09% | -0.35% | -0.63% | +0.72% | +0.51% | +0.13% | -0.27% | -0.19% | +0.22% | +0.04% | +0.06% | +0.14% | +0.68% |
| 9 Avg +0.08% | -0.29% | -0.48% | -0.32% | +0.09% | -0.20% | -0.69% | +0.02% | -0.17% | +0.94% | -0.18% | +1.82% | +0.37% |
| 10 Avg +0.01% | -0.16% | +0.41% | -0.51% | +0.40% | +0.55% | -1.68% | +0.28% | +0.08% | +0.09% | +0.34% | +1.22% | -0.88% |
| 11 Avg -0.04% | -0.16% | -0.26% | +0.76% | -0.23% | -0.26% | -0.85% | -0.40% | +0.49% | +0.33% | +0.04% | +0.09% | +0.02% |
| 12 Avg +0.18% | +0.70% | +1.32% | -1.03% | +0.39% | +0.17% | +0.06% | +0.73% | 0.00% | +0.57% | -0.43% | -0.51% | +0.19% |
| 13 Avg -0.09% | +0.46% | -0.07% | -0.30% | +0.71% | -0.34% | -1.14% | -0.01% | +0.01% | +0.45% | -0.98% | +0.04% | +0.14% |
| 14 Avg +0.15% | -0.13% | -0.37% | +0.39% | +0.82% | +0.34% | -0.32% | -0.19% | 0.00% | +0.29% | +0.66% | +0.11% | +0.19% |
| 15 Avg +0.08% | -0.47% | +1.36% | -1.02% | -0.39% | +0.21% | -0.33% | +0.34% | -0.08% | -0.12% | +0.47% | +0.52% | +0.47% |
| 16 Avg -0.06% | -0.06% | +0.17% | -0.75% | -0.10% | -0.09% | +0.46% | -0.09% | +0.10% | -0.70% | +0.59% | -0.42% | +0.18% |
| 17 Avg -0.10% | -0.68% | +0.05% | +0.29% | +0.19% | -0.01% | +0.42% | -0.23% | -0.76% | -0.30% | +0.05% | +0.17% | -0.38% |
| 18 Avg +0.08% | +0.09% | -0.17% | -0.02% | +0.53% | +0.88% | -0.22% | +0.27% | -0.38% | -0.38% | +0.52% | -0.14% | -0.04% |
| 19 Avg -0.05% | -0.35% | +0.08% | +0.04% | +0.37% | -0.29% | -0.18% | -0.25% | -0.31% | +0.97% | 0.00% | -0.46% | -0.17% |
| 20 Avg +0.08% | -0.19% | +0.26% | -0.30% | +0.55% | +0.38% | +0.51% | +0.34% | -0.25% | -0.17% | -0.38% | +0.15% | -0.01% |
| 21 Avg -0.08% | -0.22% | -0.27% | +0.18% | +0.10% | -0.68% | +0.02% | +0.39% | -0.23% | -0.33% | -0.20% | +0.03% | +0.27% |
| 22 Avg +0.03% | -0.13% | +0.39% | -0.47% | +0.62% | -0.54% | -0.16% | -0.16% | +0.16% | +0.40% | -0.03% | +0.08% | +0.21% |
| 23 Avg -0.11% | +0.05% | -0.32% | -1.45% | +1.04% | -0.80% | -0.32% | +0.56% | +0.03% | -0.98% | +0.22% | +0.29% | +0.31% |
| 24 Avg -0.14% | -0.11% | -1.48% | -0.03% | +0.08% | +0.08% | -1.29% | +0.26% | +0.52% | -0.09% | +0.04% | +0.63% | -0.25% |
| 25 Avg +0.12% | +0.53% | +0.61% | +0.72% | -0.59% | +0.34% | -0.15% | +0.37% | -0.23% | -0.58% | +0.27% | +0.18% | 0.00% |
| 26 Avg +0.08% | +0.87% | -0.11% | +0.55% | -0.03% | +1.14% | 0.00% | +0.19% | -0.32% | -0.43% | -0.37% | -0.58% | 0.00% |
| 27 Avg +0.17% | -0.33% | +0.04% | +0.18% | +0.63% | +1.39% | -0.14% | +0.33% | -0.09% | +0.26% | -0.27% | -0.04% | +0.13% |
| 28 Avg -0.01% | -0.34% | -0.75% | +0.55% | +1.10% | -0.08% | +0.45% | -0.25% | +0.43% | -0.30% | -0.69% | -0.31% | +0.06% |
| 29 Avg +0.10% | -0.21% | - | +0.98% | +0.43% | -1.68% | +0.65% | +0.71% | +0.04% | -0.35% | +0.07% | +0.62% | -0.15% |
| 30 Avg -0.30% | -0.30% | - | -0.04% | -0.81% | -0.66% | -0.48% | -0.60% | +0.22% | +0.17% | -0.57% | -0.26% | +0.01% |
| 31 Avg -0.43% | -0.54% | - | -0.65% | - | -1.13% | - | +0.08% | -0.16% | - | -0.69% | - | +0.06% |
| Rank | Stock | Avg Return (%) | Wins | Losses |
|---|