Check historical price trends and seasonality for Toyota Motor Corporation (7203.T).
Toyota Motor Corporation (7203.T) average YTD return over the past 10 years is +9.85%.
Over the past 10 years, the return for the specified period (Feb 8 for 60 days) is -3.94%.
3 wins 5 losses with a win rate of 37.50%.
1) Overview:
Toyota Motor Corporation's stock price typically experiences a bearish phase from March to May, bottoming out around April 7 with a -3.6% average change. A strong bullish trend then emerges, starting in June and continuing through December. This bullish phase culminates around December 19 and December 31, showing average gains of +10.1% and +9.8% respectively.
2) Buy-the-dip points:
The most significant dip opportunity appears around April 7, with an average decline of -3.6%. Further buying opportunities may arise throughout March and April as the stock price tends to decline during this period. Another potential dip occurs in May, although the negative movements are less pronounced than in April. These pullbacks could be considered strategic entry points in anticipation of the subsequent bullish trend.
3) Summary:
Based on the 10-year average seasonality, a potential investment strategy involves buying Toyota shares during the weakness in March, April, and May, particularly around April 7. The goal would be to capitalize on the strong upward trend that typically unfolds from June through December. Consider exiting positions near the end of December to realize gains from the seasonal rally.
| Year | Start Date | Start Price | End Date | End Price | Return | Rate (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 2024-02-08 | 3,350.0000 | 2024-04-07 | 3,619.0000 | 269.0000 | 8.03 |
| 2023 | 2023-02-08 | 1,897.5000 | 2023-04-08 | 1,819.5000 | -78.0000 | -4.11 |
| 2022 | 2022-02-08 | 2,296.0000 | 2022-04-08 | 2,095.5000 | -200.5000 | -8.73 |
| 2021 | 2021-02-08 | 1,607.4000 | 2021-04-08 | 1,683.6000 | 76.2000 | 4.74 |
| 2019 | 2019-02-08 | 1,289.8000 | 2019-04-08 | 1,359.4000 | 69.6000 | 5.40 |
| 2018 | 2018-02-08 | 1,510.2000 | 2018-04-08 | 1,345.6000 | -164.6000 | -10.90 |
| 2017 | 2017-02-08 | 1,277.0000 | 2017-04-08 | 1,166.4000 | -110.6000 | -8.66 |
| 2016 | 2016-02-08 | 1,311.0000 | 2016-04-07 | 1,084.8000 | -226.2000 | -17.25 |
| Avg | 1,817.3625 | 1,771.7250 | -45.64 | -3.94 |
| Day \ Month | Jan Total +1.27% | Feb Total -2.17% | Mar Total -0.08% | Apr Total +0.58% | May Total -0.35% | Jun Total +0.79% | Jul Total +2.51% | Aug Total +1.65% | Sep Total -0.20% | Oct Total +2.82% | Nov Total +1.90% | Dec Total +3.10% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Avg +0.04% | 0.00% | +0.05% | +0.26% | -1.01% | -0.15% | +1.16% | -0.13% | +0.02% | -0.17% | -0.06% | +0.25% | +0.26% |
| 2 Avg -0.01% | 0.00% | +0.12% | -0.29% | +0.08% | -0.29% | +0.36% | +0.39% | -0.78% | +0.05% | -0.15% | +0.27% | +0.16% |
| 3 Avg -0.05% | 0.00% | -0.54% | +0.57% | -0.63% | 0.00% | -0.04% | +0.23% | -0.56% | -0.04% | -0.16% | 0.00% | +0.62% |
| 4 Avg +0.05% | +0.97% | +0.04% | -0.72% | -0.56% | 0.00% | +0.74% | +0.69% | +0.06% | +0.07% | -0.17% | -0.38% | -0.11% |
| 5 Avg -0.07% | +0.38% | +0.45% | +0.46% | -0.67% | 0.00% | -0.31% | -0.01% | -0.81% | -0.05% | +0.54% | -0.37% | -0.50% |
| 6 Avg +0.24% | -0.92% | +0.37% | -0.12% | +0.08% | +0.57% | +0.36% | -0.27% | +1.19% | +0.21% | +0.37% | +1.09% | -0.04% |
| 7 Avg -0.08% | +0.49% | -0.33% | -1.33% | -0.54% | -0.40% | -0.11% | -0.15% | +0.24% | -0.27% | +0.49% | +0.56% | +0.45% |
| 8 Avg +0.06% | +0.17% | +0.52% | -0.70% | +0.74% | -0.12% | +0.09% | -0.19% | +0.27% | +0.15% | +0.14% | -0.08% | -0.25% |
| 9 Avg -0.22% | -0.12% | -0.95% | +0.14% | -0.10% | +0.26% | +0.04% | +0.10% | -0.61% | -0.61% | -0.57% | -0.55% | +0.35% |
| 10 Avg +0.25% | +0.11% | -0.10% | +1.03% | +0.84% | +0.01% | +0.22% | -0.42% | +0.13% | +0.16% | +0.21% | +0.54% | +0.29% |
| 11 Avg +0.03% | +0.63% | 0.00% | -1.11% | -0.71% | -0.53% | -0.21% | +0.13% | +0.49% | +0.09% | +0.17% | +0.91% | +0.49% |
| 12 Avg +0.26% | -0.14% | -0.12% | +0.01% | +0.10% | -0.14% | -0.27% | +0.83% | +0.73% | +0.48% | +0.36% | +0.50% | +0.74% |
| 13 Avg -0.04% | +0.29% | +0.28% | -0.83% | +0.29% | -0.34% | -0.67% | +0.87% | +0.19% | +0.16% | -0.20% | -0.51% | +0.01% |
| 14 Avg +0.01% | -0.28% | -0.88% | +0.02% | +0.75% | -0.40% | +0.30% | +0.22% | -0.10% | +0.32% | -0.02% | +0.19% | -0.01% |
| 15 Avg +0.28% | -0.08% | +0.89% | +0.52% | +0.53% | -0.38% | +0.13% | +0.43% | +0.28% | +0.18% | +0.05% | +0.18% | +0.69% |
| 16 Avg -0.04% | -0.22% | +0.33% | -0.43% | -0.54% | -0.19% | +0.51% | -0.01% | -0.40% | 0.00% | -0.02% | +0.59% | -0.11% |
| 17 Avg +0.06% | +0.06% | -0.72% | +0.86% | +0.30% | +0.42% | -0.50% | +0.20% | +0.46% | -0.06% | +0.25% | -0.39% | -0.10% |
| 18 Avg +0.06% | +0.29% | +0.11% | +0.59% | -0.21% | +0.26% | -0.35% | -0.33% | -0.39% | +0.45% | +0.26% | -0.29% | +0.34% |
| 19 Avg +0.10% | -0.21% | -0.22% | +0.58% | +0.05% | +0.04% | -0.33% | +0.29% | -0.28% | +1.05% | -0.16% | +0.17% | +0.17% |
| 20 Avg -0.02% | +0.23% | +0.11% | 0.00% | +0.11% | +0.37% | +0.16% | -0.10% | -0.43% | 0.00% | +0.24% | -0.32% | -0.65% |
| 21 Avg -0.11% | -0.31% | +0.02% | +0.17% | -0.25% | -0.12% | -0.08% | +0.22% | -0.05% | +0.03% | -0.26% | +0.21% | -0.87% |
| 22 Avg +0.11% | +0.61% | -0.20% | +0.29% | +0.03% | -0.46% | +0.21% | -0.35% | +0.60% | +0.17% | +0.24% | +0.21% | -0.03% |
| 23 Avg +0.06% | -0.07% | +0.08% | -0.44% | +0.54% | -0.56% | -0.22% | +1.33% | -0.02% | -0.25% | +0.23% | 0.00% | +0.15% |
| 24 Avg +0.06% | -0.36% | -0.51% | +0.21% | +0.64% | +0.12% | -0.53% | +0.23% | +0.09% | -0.03% | +0.23% | +0.86% | -0.19% |
| 25 Avg +0.12% | -0.03% | -0.09% | +1.10% | +0.12% | +0.15% | -0.10% | -0.50% | +0.44% | +0.35% | -0.12% | +0.04% | +0.05% |
| 26 Avg -0.04% | -0.78% | +0.01% | +0.27% | +0.19% | +0.62% | +0.02% | -0.49% | -0.88% | -0.17% | +0.29% | -0.19% | +0.65% |
| 27 Avg +0.29% | +0.09% | +0.03% | +0.38% | -0.10% | +0.54% | +0.29% | +0.56% | +0.35% | +0.51% | +0.46% | -0.40% | +0.78% |
| 28 Avg +0.03% | -0.06% | -0.91% | -0.45% | +0.59% | +0.47% | +0.41% | -0.45% | +0.58% | -0.13% | +0.37% | -0.12% | +0.08% |
| 29 Avg -0.06% | +0.84% | - | +0.29% | 0.00% | -0.23% | -0.09% | -0.17% | +0.05% | -0.57% | -0.16% | -0.55% | -0.08% |
| 30 Avg -0.36% | -0.25% | - | -0.99% | -0.08% | +0.19% | -0.40% | +0.15% | +0.57% | -2.27% | -0.10% | -0.54% | -0.24% |
| 31 Avg -0.15% | -0.07% | - | -0.41% | - | -0.06% | - | -0.80% | +0.24% | - | +0.07% | - | 0.00% |
| Rank | Stock | Avg Return (%) | Wins | Losses |
|---|
